Michael Moore's Fahrenheit 9/11 opens in limited realease today in New York and Washington, D.C., and in the rest of the country on Friday. And while I do plan to see it, I am, like Orcinus, looking forward more to the reaction to the film than the film itself (like most political junkies, I'm already familiar with much of the film's content, such as the evacuation of the Bin Laden family, George Bush's plentiful vacation time, and the fact that nary a lawmaker read the Patriot Act).
That said, here is what I predict will happen:
1. The film will do incredibly well. It probably won't give Dodgeball or Shrek 2 much competition, in terms of earnings, simply because it's not as well distributed. But it will likely break opening weekend records for a documentary (here are the top five grossing documentaries of all time, by the way - given that the No.1 film - Bowling for Columbine - earned $21.6 million in total, breaking the opening weekend record, as well as the overall record, shouldn't be difficult). Expect to hear of packed showings, lines around the block, and other reactions typically reserved for a major Hollywood blockbuster.
2. A right-wing organization will protest and/or disrupt showings. Already, there was an attempt, by Republicans, to curtail the distribution of Fahrenheit 9/11 by enlisting a PR firm which set up a phony grass-roots organization named Move America Forward that encouraged boycotts of theaters showing the film. With that effort failed, expect protests outside theaters by some of the more militant elements of the Right, in addition to - possibly - attempts to actually shut screenings down, by unscrupulous means. In fact, if you google "Fahrenheit 9/11" and boycott, the first site returned is a message board hosted by a certain radical-Right organization known for its confrontational tactics, with plenty of calls to protest, or "shut down," Moore's "traitorous" film.
3. The media will continue to spin this film as "highly controversial," and portray theatre-goers as wild-eyed "Bush Haters.". If your local television station covers the opening of the film, expect to hear that the film is "highly controversial" (despite the fact that it's been thoroughly fact-checked) and that it's been "heavily criticized" by the Right (with probably no mention of the mostly rave reviews it's received from non-partisan and even some right-wing critics - Fox News, of all sources, gave it a nod). Also, expect to see carefully selected shots of the most stereotypically "liberal" members of the audience (they'll probably go out of their way to zoom in on the white guy with the dreadlocks and the tye-dyed t-shirt), and sound bites from the most inarticulate attendees they can corral. This was the sort of coverage that the local stations in my area provided of the major anti-war rallies in spring of 2003, and while the press isn't whipped into the same patriotic fervor now as it was then, I can't expect they've changed their ways that much.
I'll review my predictions on Monday, and we'll see whether or not I'm the Jimmy the Greek (minus the racism) of societal prognostication.